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New California Earthquake Forecast Shows Increased Risk
Key Points
- The USGS has released a new earthquake forecast for California.
- The forecast shows that nearly all of California has a more than 95% chance of a damaging earthquake in the next century.
- A light 4.9-magnitude earthquake struck in Southern California on Monday.
A new earthquake forecast by the US Geological Survey (USGS), California Geological Survey, and the Southern California Earthquake Center and partners revises scientific understanding of future earthquake risks across California. The forecast shows that nearly all of California has a more than 95% chance of experiencing a damaging earthquake in the next century. This is a significant increase from the previous forecast, which estimated a 93% chance of a damaging earthquake in the same time period.
The new forecast is based on a number of factors, including new data on earthquake faults and the latest scientific models. The forecast also takes into account the effects of climate change, which is expected to increase the frequency and severity of earthquakes in some parts of California.
The USGS recommends that people in earthquake-prone areas take steps to prepare for an earthquake. This includes having an earthquake plan, assembling an emergency kit, and securing your home and belongings.
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